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MessagePosté le: Ven 11 Nov - 07:43 (2016)    Sujet du message: re very excited about that win becaus Répondre en citant

Throughout the NHL playoffs, I have forecasted each round simply by using shots on goal and goaltender save percentage to come up with a baseline for the series. David Bruton Redskins Jersey . Its not intended to be some magical formula and doesnt apply any context, like, for example, taking injuries into account. This remedial statistical method has gone 9-5 in picks through the first three rounds. Heres a quick look at the five series that went the wrong way: In the first round, Columbus came in ahead of Pittsburgh, though that required Sergei Bobrovsky to perform better than Marc-Andre Fleury (not an impossibility given Fleurys playoff track record), but Fleury and Bobrovsky each had a .908 save percentage in Round One and Pittsburgh dominated puck possession to an extent that they did not during the regular season. Minnesota upended Colorado, in Game Seven overtime, which wasnt altogether surprising. I would have easily been able to talk myself into the upset had the Wild not gone into the series with Ilya Bryzgalov as their starting goaltender, because the Wild were a superior possession team. Darcy Kuemper returned for four games and helped tilt the series back in Minnesotas favour and Semyon Varlamov, whose regular-season play fueled the Avalanches top seed finish, was only okay in the postseason, posting a .913 save percentage in seven games. The touchiest series for this years playoffs was the San Jose-Los Angeles matchup in Round One. The forecast had the Sharks favoured by the slimmest of margins (18.15 expected goals to 18.09 expected goals) and, when they had a 3-0 series lead, that coin flip looked to be falling the right way. We know how that has turned out since that point. In the second round, the Boston Bruins were favoured over the Montreal Canadiens, and while the Bruins controlled large portions of the series, they couldnt solve Carey Price, who had a .936 save percentage in the seven-game upset. Then, in the Conference Finals, the forecast put the Chicago Blackhawks over the Los Angeles Kings, due to a goaltending advantage, because Kings goaltender Jonathan Quick hasnt been great in this years playoffs. After what was a sensational series, it was safe to say that neither team held a goaltending advantage -- both Quick and Corey Crawford struggled -- and the Kings took Game Seven in OT. So, those misses are on the record as we head into the Stanley Cup Final. The expected goals for each team in the series are determined by taking each teams shots for and against over the course of the season, as well as through the first round of the playoffs, and splitting the difference. So, for example, the New York Rangers, over the regular season and playoffs have averaged 32.4 shots on goal per game and the Los Angeles Kings have allowed 27.0 shots on goal per game; the average of those two numbers, 29.70 shots, is the number that is then multiplied by (1 - the opposing goaltenders save percentage) to determine an expected goals per game for the Rangers. Finally, the number is multiplied by seven to indicate an expected goal total for a seven-game series. Theres no guarantee that scoring more goals in a series will result in winning four games first, but the odds certainly favour the team that scores more. So, lets see how the numbers shake out for the Final: Team SF SA Goaltender SV% Expected GF/Series Los Angeles 31.5 27.0 Jonathan Quick 0.912 16.54 N.Y. Rangers 32.4 29.1 Henrik Lundqvist 0.922 18.30 Verdict: While the Kings and Rangers are very similar in their playoff puck possession rates, the Kings were tops in the league during the regular season and ran through a more difficult gauntlet in the Western Conference to reach the Cup Final. The difference in shot rates during the regular season is pretty small, however, with the Kings earning 54.7% of the shots as the Rangers earned 53.0% of the total shots. Over the course of a game, that amounts to about one extra shot on goal; hardly the kind of difference that couldnt be overcome by better goaltending. Which brings us to the advantage to which the Rangers will cling. Lundqvist has been one of the games top goaltenders since coming into the league in 2005-2006, and is performing at a high level in this years playoffs as well, so couldnt he stop an extra shot or two per game? At the other end, Jonathan Quick has traditionally been a very good playoff goaltender in his own right, but his .906 save percentage this year has dropped Quicks all-time playoff save percentage to .922, falling fractionally behind Lundqvist. Certainly, some of the blame for this seasons save percentage can be attributed to the calibre of teams that the Kings have faced on their way to the Cup Final, with San Jose (sixth), Anaheim (first) and Chicago (second) all among the top-scoring teams in the league this season. By comparison, the Rangers got through Philadelphia (eighth), Pittsburgh (fifth) and Montreal (21st), so there is some quality of competition favouring Quick. It would be an upset if the Rangers won the series but a seven-game series, if otherwise close, can easily be decided by goaltending and, right now, its not unreasonable to hold higher expectations for Lundqvist. Lets see if King Henrik can get the job done. Scott Cullen can be reached at Scott.Cullen@bellmedia.ca and followed on Twitter at http://twitter.com/tsnscottcullen. For more, check out TSN Fantasy Sports on Facebook. Adam Hayward Redskins Jersey . Despite Barcelona showing the same vulnerability in defence, Messis best performance since returning from a lengthy injury layoff ensured that his side bounced back from a defeat by Valencia in the previous round. Derek Carrier Redskins Jersey . "Canada," Bolland said with a smile. "Is that a question?" One day earlier, though, fellow Toronto Maple Leafs centre Nazem Kadri wasnt so sure his home and native land could pull off the win against the United States in the semi-finals of the Olympic hockey tournament. http://www.theredskinsprostore.com/Burgundy-Red-Kedric-Golston-Redskins-Jersey/ . The International Ice Hockey Federation says Pavlovs avoided a two-year sanction because he acted "without significant negligence in failing to verify the safety of the supplements he was taking.DALLAS -- Talk about a quick 1-2-3 for the Dallas Stars. Cody Eakin, Stephane Robidas and Ryan Garbutt produced a three-goal flurry in a 53-second span of the third period, and the Stars beat the Pacific Division-leading Anaheim Ducks 6-3 on Tuesday night for their first home win in more than month. "We were just still talking on the bench about, OK, its a tie game. Lets get this thing (under control), stay the course, do that, and next its 3-2," Ducks coach Bruce Boudreau said. "It just went boom, boom. They got the goal, and the crowd got into it, and then the rest is history." After giving up a goal to Nick Bonino in the final seconds of the second period that put the Ducks ahead 2-1, Dallas wiped out that deficit with the fastest three-goal stretch in the NHL since January 2012. "Youre thinking that we fought hard to tie it up and want to go into the third period and try to play a 20-minute period of the win, and now were going to chase the game again as soon as we come out," Stars coach Lindy Ruff said. "But we were able to turn it, I can tell you a nice story now. Otherwise, we might have blamed the game on that late goal." Eakins sixth goal of the season tied it 2-2 with 14:35 left. Only 25 seconds later, Robidas was between the circles when he scored his fourth of the season. Garbutt then gathered a loose puck and scored with a backhanded swipe with 13:42 left to make it 4-2. He didnt realize how quickly the trio of goals had come. "But it was pretty cool," said Garbutt, who also had two assists. Fans in the building were suddenly in a frenzy as Boudreau finally called timeout. "We might have had to have a little bottle of NoDoz after the first period, but we woke them up in the third," Ruff said. Roussel was in the crease when he netted his second goal with just under 8 minutes left. Hiller quickly argued with the referee to no avail, trying to get an interference call. Dan Ellis stopped 28 shots, winning for only the second time in seven games. Dallas had been 0-2-2 at home since a 5-1 victory over Calgary on Oct. 24. Emerson Etem, Nick Bonino and Dustin& Penner scored for the Ducks, who are 10-4-3 in their last 17 games. Josh Leribeus Redskins Jersey. Penners tally was a power-play goal with 6 1/2 minutes left. "It does happen quickly," Ducks centre Andrew Cogliano said. "When momentum turns and it starts going the other way, its really hard to stop it." The Stars played the first of three straight home games. Next is Friday night against the Central Division-leading Chicago Blackhawks, who have an NHL-best 38 points -- one more than Anaheim and St. Louis. This was the second of three meetings this season for the former Pacific Division rivals who used to play six times a season. It was the only trip to Dallas for the Ducks, who won 6-3 at home on Oct. 20 and will host the Stars again on Feb. 1. Hiller, who faced 32 shots, gave up three goals on 12 shots against the Stars in the previous matchup before he was pulled from the game. Boninos seventh of the season came with 36 seconds left in the second period. He took a pass from Cogliano, and the puck went off his skate before he used his stick to score from the right side of the net for a 2-1 lead. Etem scored from in front 6:06 into the game to give the Ducks a 1-0 lead. Roussel tied it when the puck caromed in off his skate with 6:47 left in the second period. Officials reviewed the goal before ruling that it wasnt kicked into the net to the left of Hiller after a pass from Vernon Fiddler. "That was a team win," Roussel said. "Were very excited about that win because everybody was involved." NOTES: The three-goal spurt was the fastest in the NHL since Montreal scored three in 50 seconds in the third period of a 7-3 win over Winnipeg on Jan. 4, 2012. ... Stars D Sergei Gonchar played his 1,200th NHL game, joining Alexei Kovalev and Sergei Federov as the only Russian-born players to reach that mark. ... Anaheim captain Ryan Getzlaf had the primary assist on Penners goal. Getzlaf has points in the last eight games he has played (seven goals, five assists). ... 41-year-old LW Ray Whitney was back in the Stars lineup after he missed five games with a groin injury. He played in his 1,279th NHL game. Wholesale NFL Jerseys ' ' '
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MessagePosté le: Ven 11 Nov - 07:43 (2016)    Sujet du message: Publicité

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